{"id":2717,"date":"2018-02-05T11:30:23","date_gmt":"2018-02-05T16:30:23","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blog.daed.com\/?p=2717"},"modified":"2024-07-11T10:59:03","modified_gmt":"2024-07-11T14:59:03","slug":"notoriously-notched-x-not-iphones-ruination","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.daed.com\/?p=2717","title":{"rendered":"Notoriously Notched X Not iPhone\u2019s Ruination"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/blog.daed.com\/?attachment_id=3958\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-3958\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignright wp-image-3958 size-medium\" src=\"http:\/\/blog.daed.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/02\/dimitri-karastelev-rcZ4FWhNiCw-unsplash-300x200.jpg\" alt=\"An image of person holding a smartphone. \" width=\"300\" height=\"200\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blog.daed.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/02\/dimitri-karastelev-rcZ4FWhNiCw-unsplash-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/blog.daed.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/02\/dimitri-karastelev-rcZ4FWhNiCw-unsplash-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/blog.daed.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/02\/dimitri-karastelev-rcZ4FWhNiCw-unsplash-1024x683.jpg 1024w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><span style=\"color: #000000;\">According to a click-bait link to Slate, and a slew of articles elsewhere, iPhone X sales are &#8220;abysmal&#8221;. However, the 3rd party data in\u00a0the<\/span> <a href=\"https:\/\/slate.com\/comments\/technology\/2018\/02\/is-the-iphone-x-in-trouble.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Slate article<\/a>\u200b<span style=\"color: #000000;\">, data that says 30% of Apple&#8217;s iPhone sales come from the X, 40% from the 8&#8217;s, and 30% from the rest, prove that it is a VERY valuable product for Apple, even by revenue numbers. In terms of profits, it&#8217;s likely gangbusters.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt; color: #000000;\">30% of iPhone sales are X&#8217;s, priced from\u00a0$999\u00a0to\u00a0$1,149,\u00a0coming in 4 different combinations of color and capacity.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt; color: #000000;\">40% of iPhone sales are 8&#8217;s, priced from\u00a0$699\u00a0to\u00a0$949,\u00a0coming in 12 different combinations of physical size, color, and capacity.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt; color: #000000;\">30% of iPhone sales are SE&#8217;s, 6&#8217;s, 7&#8217;s, priced from\u00a0$349\u00a0to\u00a0$769,\u00a0coming in 44 different combinations of physical size, color, and capacity.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt; color: #000000;\">iPhone sales were up in the 4th quarter of 2017, over the 4th quarter of 2016.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt; color: #000000;\">Are sales up enough? Maybe, maybe not.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt; color: #000000;\">Did Apple underestimate and then overestimate future X sales? Probably, but predicting the future is more of an art than a science.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt; color: #000000;\">However, assuming each of the categories above sells at the median selling price within their range, the four iPhone X variations are responsible for 54% of iPhone revenue, or 13.5% each, while the 56 remaining variations are responsible for 46%, or 0.85% each. Given the manufacturing and inventory hassle of dealing with a variety of models, I would say that Apple may be more concerned with the bottom of the lineup than the top.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt; color: #000000;\">And typically, in any given product category, the higher the selling price of a product, the higher the margins. Also typically, the higher the product&#8217;s production volume, the higher the margins. Notice that X has the highest price and highest production volumes. This would suggest that the percentage of Apple&#8217;s iPhone profits that come from the X are even higher than the percentage of iPhone revenue unless they have a HUGE and unprecedented problem with assembly, component, or warranty costs.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt; color: #000000;\">Do stock market valuations of companies sometimes get ahead of where they should be? Of course. Are Apple&#8217;s too high? Not based on their profitability, but perhaps based on their lack of diversification, which has got to be factored in as a risk, but that&#8217;s a different story.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt; color: #000000;\">[Note: Although the author neither uses an iPhone nor directly owns Apple stock, he is a known Apple sympathizer.]<\/span><\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">Image Credits<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">Feature Photo by<\/span> <a href=\"https:\/\/unsplash.com\/@lastly?utm_source=unsplash&amp;utm_medium=referral&amp;utm_content=creditCopyText\">Tyler Lastovich<\/a> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">on<\/span> <a href=\"https:\/\/unsplash.com\/?utm_source=unsplash&amp;utm_medium=referral&amp;utm_content=creditCopyText\">Unsplash<\/a><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">Article Photo by<\/span> <a href=\"https:\/\/unsplash.com\/@dkfra19?utm_source=unsplash&amp;utm_medium=referral&amp;utm_content=creditCopyText\">Dimitri Karastelev<\/a> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">on<\/span> <a href=\"https:\/\/unsplash.com\/?utm_source=unsplash&amp;utm_medium=referral&amp;utm_content=creditCopyText\">Unsplash<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>According to a click-bait link to Slate, and a slew of articles elsewhere, iPhone X sales are &#8220;abysmal&#8221;. However, the 3rd party data in\u00a0the Slate article\u200b, data that says 30% &#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10,"featured_media":3956,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6,8],"tags":[41,166],"class_list":["post-2717","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-design-thinking","category-products-culture","tag-apple","tag-iphone"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v20.10 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Notoriously Notched X Not iPhone\u2019s Ruination - daed.com<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/blog.daed.com\/?p=2717\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Notoriously Notched X Not iPhone\u2019s Ruination - daed.com\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"According to a click-bait link to Slate, and a slew of articles elsewhere, iPhone X sales are &#8220;abysmal&#8221;. 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